The administration of the US President recently suggested that the Corona epidemic would lead to the deaths of between 100,000 and 240,000 people in the United States, but a number of researchers and academics have questioned the accuracy of these estimates, saying they are not based on clear data or an accurate scientific method.
The White House refused to disclose the method used in making these expectations, that is, the death of a huge number of up to 240,000, a number that exceeds the victims of the United States in the Vietnam War and the September 11 terrorist attacks.
According to the newspaper, the lack of disclosure of the method of developing these numbers does not allow researchers to ascertain their accuracy and accuracy, or even search for possible ways to reduce the death toll as much as possible.
And the "Washington Post" quoted three sources in the White House, whose names were not mentioned, that Trump's senior advisers expressed doubts about the deaths expectations, and they even entered into a heated debate about it.
During a closed meeting of the Corona task force in the US administration, Anthony Fossey, Director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said that the epidemic is undergoing many changes and, accordingly, it is difficult to make accurate forecasts.
He added that he looked at several models for developing estimates, then found that they did not lead to a clear result. In the same vein, the director of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Robert Redfield, said he also doubted the accuracy of the numbers.
It's not clear enough yet, because scientists cannot predict what will happen to people in the future, and they don't know if the virus is seasonal, said epidemiologist at Columbia University, Jeffrey Shaman.
Meanwhile, a researcher at Harvard University's Infectious Diseases Research Center, Mark Lipschest, said that the White House "contacted us on Tuesday, last week, and asked us to provide answers on Thursday, that is, within 24 hours, and I told them that we cannot accomplish It is so fast. "
"In the end, we gave them some numbers about some very special cases," the American academic added, while other researchers said that the Trump administration has not determined whether these victims, who are many, will die in the next few months, or whether it is related to the total number Mortality before reaching a successful vaccine against the virus.
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